Navigating geopolitical disruption

Ongoing geopolitical conflict is disrupting global fuel supplies and driving price volatility, with flow‑through impacts across the economy. While the trajectory of the conflict remains uncertain, many organisations are operating in more volatile conditions, with heightened exposure to operational, commercial and supply chain risks.

Impacts may arise from decisions taken in direct response to the disruption, such as sourcing alternative fuel supplies, managing cost pressures or adjusting delivery and service models, as well as from external factors outside an organisation’s control, including government intervention or disruption affecting counterparties elsewhere in the economy. Together, these dynamics can create multiple, intersecting areas of risk, and affect a wide range of stakeholder relationships, from commercial partners and suppliers to employees, shareholders, and the broader community.

In light of these fast‑moving events, this page is designed to help organisations assess emerging risks and respond with greater clarity as conditions continue to evolve.

It brings together practical insights on general market and sector impacts, highlights where pressure points may arise, and outlines practical steps to support decision‑making, governance and communications during periods of sustained disruption.

The page will be updated regularly as further developments unfold.